{"id":6703,"date":"2026-02-22T22:09:49","date_gmt":"2026-02-22T22:09:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/izvestiyakbncran.ru\/?page_id=6703"},"modified":"2026-03-06T09:55:38","modified_gmt":"2026-03-06T09:55:38","slug":"28-1-6-en","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/izvestiyakbncran.ru\/index.php\/en\/28-1-6-en\/","title":{"rendered":"28.1.6 En"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading has-lora-font-family\" style=\"font-size:24px\"><strong>Review on machine learning methods for convective cell identification and tracking using weather radar<\/strong><\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-foreground-color has-text-color has-link-color has-lora-font-family has-extra-small-font-size wp-elements-22db859f7003d6b59dd848551470fb3e\" style=\"margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;padding-top:0;padding-bottom:0\"><strong>V.A. Shapovalov, A.A. Adzhieva, M.M. Akhmatov, A.Zh. Khitieva<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-foreground-color has-text-color has-link-color has-lora-font-family has-extra-small-font-size wp-elements-86b70c892ee51d64e6bf0730e3274f25\" style=\"margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;padding-top:0;padding-bottom:0\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-foreground-color has-text-color has-link-color has-lora-font-family has-extra-small-font-size wp-elements-86b70c892ee51d64e6bf0730e3274f25\" style=\"margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;padding-top:0;padding-bottom:0\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-foreground-color has-text-color has-link-color has-lora-font-family has-extra-small-font-size wp-elements-86b70c892ee51d64e6bf0730e3274f25\" style=\"margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;padding-top:0;padding-bottom:0\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-wide\" style=\"margin-top:var(--wp--preset--spacing--20);margin-bottom:var(--wp--preset--spacing--20)\"\/>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group is-nowrap is-layout-flex wp-container-core-group-is-layout-24a27e19 wp-block-group-is-layout-flex\" style=\"margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;padding-top:0;padding-bottom:0\">\n<p class=\"has-text-color has-link-color has-lora-font-family has-extra-small-font-size wp-elements-fa99f84d8051eb763ab85c3007cdb1c2\" style=\"color:#5b1919;text-decoration:underline\"><strong><strong>Upload the full text<\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group is-vertical is-layout-flex wp-container-core-group-is-layout-9151b400 wp-block-group-is-layout-flex\" style=\"min-height:0px;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;padding-top:0;padding-bottom:0\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-left is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-15bf754d wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\" style=\"margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;padding-top:0;padding-right:0;padding-bottom:0;padding-left:0\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button has-custom-width wp-block-button__width-100 is-style-outline is-style-outline--1\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-background-background-color has-text-color has-background has-link-color has-border-color has-small-font-size has-custom-font-size wp-element-button\" href=\"http:\/\/izvestiyakbncran.ru\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/6-shapovalov-adzhieva.pdf\" style=\"border-color:#5b1919;border-style:solid;border-width:2px;border-radius:8px;color:#5b1919;padding-top:0.4rem;padding-right:var(--wp--preset--spacing--40);padding-bottom:0.4rem;padding-left:var(--wp--preset--spacing--40)\">PDF<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:0px;width:0px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer wp-container-content-273e683f\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-foreground-color has-text-color has-link-color has-lora-font-family has-extra-small-font-size wp-elements-7c40e47f2d53caa272d53349bcb3140c\" style=\"line-height:1.4\"><em><strong><strong>Abstract<\/strong>:<\/strong> <\/em>Automatic detection and tracking of convective cells using radar data is a crucial task for the nowcasting of severe weather events. Traditional algorithms, such as threshold-based and object-oriented methods, are widely employed but suffer from limitations in accuracy.<br><strong>Aim<\/strong>. To investigate and compare the performance of various machine learning models in detecting and tracking convective cells in radar imagery.<br><strong>Results<\/strong>. A theoretical review of state-of-the-art approaches was conducted, covering classical algorithms (TITAN, SCIT), computer vision methods (threshold segmentation, clustering), and machine learning techniques, including fuzzy logic, decision trees, and neural networks (specifically deep convolutional networks). The performance characteristics of established machine learning models were evaluated based on quality metrics. The results demonstrate that such models can increase the probability of detection and reduce false alarms compared to threshold-based methods.<br><strong>Conclusions<\/strong>. AI-based algorithms outperform traditional approaches across several metrics, enabling more reliable identification of dangerous convective cells and forecasting of their evolution. The practical application of these methods will improve the accuracy of thunderstorm and hail nowcasting; however, their implementation requires large, properly prepared training datasets that account for specific local conditions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-foreground-color has-text-color has-link-color has-lora-font-family has-extra-small-font-size wp-elements-df03325adc83c022634de6b79d43432f\" style=\"line-height:1.4\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-foreground-color has-text-color has-link-color has-lora-font-family has-extra-small-font-size wp-elements-01acd282596143b44ca7551a819b8ce7\" style=\"line-height:1.4\"><strong><em><strong>Keywords<\/strong>:<\/em><\/strong> weather radar, convective cells, detection, segmentation, tracking, optical flow, machine learning, deep learning, neural networks, nowcasting, severe weather events<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-foreground-color has-text-color has-link-color has-lora-font-family has-extra-small-font-size wp-elements-df03325adc83c022634de6b79d43432f\" style=\"line-height:1.4\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-foreground-color has-text-color has-link-color has-lora-font-family wp-elements-ef23807a7589b76bffcc35fbddb0c5bb\" style=\"font-size:12px;line-height:1.4\"><strong><strong>For citation<\/strong>.<\/strong> Shapovalov V.A., Adzhieva A.A., Akhmatov M.M., Khitieva A.Zh. Review on machine learning methods for convective cell identification and tracking using weather radar. News of the Kabardino-Balkarian Scientific Center of RAS. Vol. 28. No. 1. Pp. 90\u2013101. DOI: 10.35330\/1991-6639-2026-28-1-90-101<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-foreground-color has-text-color has-link-color has-lora-font-family wp-elements-bfd562552d51ba1666339d713d46739f\" style=\"font-size:12px;line-height:1.4\">\u00a9&nbsp;&nbsp; Shapovalov V.A., Adzhieva A.A., Akhmatov M.M., Khitieva A.Zh., 2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group is-nowrap is-layout-flex wp-container-core-group-is-layout-5c0b1008 wp-block-group-is-layout-flex\" style=\"margin-top:var(--wp--preset--spacing--20);margin-bottom:var(--wp--preset--spacing--20);padding-top:0;padding-bottom:0;padding-left:0\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"80\" height=\"28\" src=\"https:\/\/izvestiyakbncran.ru\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-7229\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-foreground-color has-text-color has-link-color has-lora-font-family wp-elements-3432ccc183989ccba85968ee39dc748b\" style=\"margin-top:var(--wp--preset--spacing--20);margin-bottom:0;font-size:12px;line-height:1.4\">Content is available under license&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-foreground-color has-text-color has-link-color has-lora-font-family wp-elements-17c3333a0b1db39b7fa4a3e1a1572bc4\" style=\"font-size:12px;line-height:1.4\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details has-foreground-color has-text-color has-link-color has-lora-font-family has-extra-small-font-size wp-elements-8aad5a279ec7f446a44e5653b406752f is-layout-flow wp-container-core-details-is-layout-0ab540ad wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\" style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:700;line-height:1.5\"><summary><strong>R<\/strong>eferences<\/summary>\n<ol style=\"margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0\" class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:400\">WMO-No. 1198. Guidelines for Nowcasting Techniques. Geneva, 2017. 184 p.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:400\">Abshaev M.T., Abshaev A.M., Malkarova A.M., Zharashuev M.V. Automated radar identification, measurement of parameters and classification of convective cells for hail protection and storm warning purposes. Meteorologiya i gidrologiya [Meteorology and Hydrology]. 2010. No. 3. Pp. 36\u201345. (In Russian)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:400\">Saraykin A.A., Chaykovskiy V.M. Application of a neural network in meteorological radar. Izvestiya vysshikh uchebnykh zavedeniy. Povolzhskiy region. Tekhnicheskiye nauki [University News. Volga Region. Technical Sciences]. 2024. No. 1(69). Pp. 83\u201390. (In Russian)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:400\">Shapovalov V.A., Tumgoyeva Kh.A. Recognition and tracking of cloud convective cells for nowcasting of hazardous weather phenomena. Izvestiya YuFU. 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DOI: 10.3390\/rs14163890<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:400\">Ritvanen J., Pulkkinen S., Moisseev D., Nerini D. Cell-tracking-based framework for assessing nowcasting model skill in reproducing growth and decay of convective rainfall. Geoscientific Model Development. 2025. Vol. 18. Pp. 1851\u20131878. DOI: 10.5194\/gmd-18-1851-2025<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:400\">Ranganayakulu S.V., Subrahmanyam K.V., Niranjan A. A novel algorithm for convective cell identification and tracking based on optical character recognition neural network. Journal of Electromagnetic Waves and Applications. 2021. Vol. 35. No. 16. Pp. 2239\u20132255. DOI: 10.1080\/09205071.2021.1941299<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:400\">Liu J., Zhang Q. A novel algorithm for detecting convective cells based on h-maxima transformation using satellite images. Atmosphere. 2025. Vol. 16. No. 11. P. 1232. DOI: 10.3390\/atmos16111232<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:400\">Wang X., Liao R., Li J. et al. Thunderstorm identification algorithm research based on simulated airborne weather radar reflectivity data. EURASIP Journal on Wireless Communications and Networking. 2020. ID: 37. DOI: 10.1186\/s13638-020-1651-6<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:400\">Wang Y., Long M., Wang J. et al. PredRNN: Recurrent neural networks for predictive learning using spatiotemporal LSTMs. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems. Vol. 30. Pp. 1\u201310.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:400\">Shi X., Chen Z., Wang H. et al. Convolutional LSTM Network: A machine learning approach for precipitation nowcasting. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NIPS). 2015. Vol. 28. Pp. 802\u2013810.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:400\">Shi X., Gao Z., Lausen L. et al. Deep Learning for precipitation nowcasting: a benchmark and a new model. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NIPS). 2017. Vol. 30. Pp. 5617\u20135627.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:400\">Gao Z., Shi X., Wang H., et al. Earthformer: exploring space-time transformers for earth system forecasting. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS). 2022. Vol. 35. Pp. 25390\u201325403. arXiv:2207.05833<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:400\">Hu J., Rosenfeld D., Zrni\u0107 D. et al. Tracking and characterization of convective cells through their maturation into stratiform storm elements using polarimetric radar and lightning detection. Atmospheric Research. 2019. Vol. 226. Pp. 192\u2013207.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:400\">Xiao H., Wang Y., Zheng Y. et al. Convective-gust nowcasting by a deep learning algorithm. Geoscientific Model Development. 2023. Vol. 16. Pp. 3611\u20133628. 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DOI: 10.1038\/s41586-021-03854-z<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details has-foreground-color has-text-color has-link-color has-lora-font-family has-extra-small-font-size wp-elements-3660e93284ec7f9ad61ae5456957c761 is-layout-flow wp-container-core-details-is-layout-5dafc681 wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\" style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:700;line-height:1.5\"><summary><strong>Information about the author<\/strong>s<\/summary>\n<div class=\"wp-block-group is-vertical is-layout-flex wp-container-core-group-is-layout-b291ae12 wp-block-group-is-layout-flex\" style=\"min-height:0px;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;padding-top:var(--wp--preset--spacing--20);padding-right:var(--wp--preset--spacing--40);padding-bottom:var(--wp--preset--spacing--20);padding-left:var(--wp--preset--spacing--40)\">\n<p style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:400\"><strong>Vitaliy A. Shapovalov<\/strong>, Doctor of Physics and Mathematics, Senior Researcher, High-Mountain Geophysical Institute;<br>2, Lenin avenue, Nalchik, 360004, Russia;<br>vet555_83@ mail.ru, ORCID: https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-9701-6820, SPIN-code: 6938-9800<br><strong>Aida A. Adzhieva<\/strong>, Doctor of Physics and Mathematics, Professor, Department of Higher Mathematics and Informatics, Kabardino-Balkarian State Agricultural University named after V.M. Kokov;<br>1v, Lenin avenue, Nalchik, 360030, Russia;<br>aida-adzhieva@mail.ru, ORCID: https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-1047-8417, SPIN-code: 4128-9520<br><strong>Mukhadin M. Akhmatov<\/strong>, Candidate of Physical and Mathematical Sciences, Associate Professor, Associate Professor of the Department of Higher Mathematics, Kabardino-Balkarian State Agricultural University named after V.M. Kokov;<br>1v, Lenin avenue, Nalchik, 360030, Russia;<br>m_ahmatov@mail.ru, ORCID: https:\/\/orcid.org\/0009-0003-2941-7459, SPIN-code: 3620-2852<br><strong>Aminat Zh. Khitieva<\/strong>, Candidate of Economic Sciences, Associate Professor, Associate Professor of the Department of Higher Mathematics and Informatics, Kabardino-Balkarian State Agricultural University named after V.M. Kokov;<br>1v, Lenin avenue, Nalchik, 360030, Russia;<br>aminkahitieva@mail.ru, ORCID: https:\/\/orcid.org\/0009-0004-6847-6328, SPIN-code: 8085-7236<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:400\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:400\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:400\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:400\"><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details has-foreground-color has-text-color has-link-color has-lora-font-family wp-elements-452cbc12bbc5feb9a1402dce7d5f0f2f is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\" style=\"font-size:14px\"><summary><strong>Funding<\/strong><\/summary>\n<p style=\"margin-top:var(--wp--preset--spacing--20);margin-bottom:var(--wp--preset--spacing--20)\">The study was performed without external funding.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Review on machine learning methods for convective cell identification and tracking using weather radar V.A. Shapovalov, A.A. Adzhieva, M.M. Akhmatov, A.Zh. Khitieva Upload the full text Abstract: Automatic detection and tracking of convective cells using radar data is a crucial task for the nowcasting of severe weather events. Traditional algorithms, such as threshold-based and object-oriented [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"wp-custom-template-home","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-6703","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>28.1.6 En - \u0418\u0417\u0412\u0415\u0421\u0422\u0418\u042f \u041a\u0410\u0411\u0410\u0420\u0414\u0418\u041d\u041e-\u0411\u0410\u041b\u041a\u0410\u0420\u0421\u041a\u041e\u0413\u041e \u041d\u0410\u0423\u0427\u041d\u041e\u0413\u041e \u0426\u0415\u041d\u0422\u0420\u0410 \u0420\u0410\u041d\u00bb<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/izvestiyakbncran.ru\/index.php\/en\/28-1-6-en\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ru_RU\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"28.1.6 En - \u0418\u0417\u0412\u0415\u0421\u0422\u0418\u042f \u041a\u0410\u0411\u0410\u0420\u0414\u0418\u041d\u041e-\u0411\u0410\u041b\u041a\u0410\u0420\u0421\u041a\u041e\u0413\u041e \u041d\u0410\u0423\u0427\u041d\u041e\u0413\u041e \u0426\u0415\u041d\u0422\u0420\u0410 \u0420\u0410\u041d\u00bb\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Review on machine learning methods for convective cell identification and tracking using weather radar V.A. 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