{"id":3523,"date":"2025-08-06T13:31:43","date_gmt":"2025-08-06T12:31:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/izvestiyakbncran.ru\/?page_id=3523"},"modified":"2026-04-13T09:59:09","modified_gmt":"2026-04-13T08:59:09","slug":"27-3-6-en","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/izvestiyakbncran.ru\/index.php\/en\/27-3-6-en\/","title":{"rendered":"27.3.6 En"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading has-lora-font-family\" style=\"font-size:24px\"><strong>IAS development for industrial economic forecasting<\/strong><\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-foreground-color has-text-color has-link-color has-lora-font-family has-extra-small-font-size wp-elements-fd0edac60fec80f5cce3a86c16abebbd\" style=\"margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;padding-top:0;padding-bottom:0\"><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>V.R. Iksanov<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-wide\" style=\"margin-top:var(--wp--preset--spacing--20);margin-bottom:var(--wp--preset--spacing--20)\"\/>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group is-nowrap is-layout-flex wp-container-core-group-is-layout-24a27e19 wp-block-group-is-layout-flex\" style=\"margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;padding-top:0;padding-bottom:0\">\n<p class=\"has-text-color has-link-color has-lora-font-family has-extra-small-font-size wp-elements-fa99f84d8051eb763ab85c3007cdb1c2\" style=\"color:#5b1919;text-decoration:underline\"><strong><strong>Upload the full text<\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group is-vertical is-layout-flex wp-container-core-group-is-layout-9151b400 wp-block-group-is-layout-flex\" style=\"min-height:0px;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;padding-top:0;padding-bottom:0\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-left is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-15bf754d wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\" style=\"margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;padding-top:0;padding-right:0;padding-bottom:0;padding-left:0\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button has-custom-width wp-block-button__width-100 is-style-outline is-style-outline--1\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-background-background-color has-text-color has-background has-link-color has-border-color has-small-font-size has-custom-font-size wp-element-button\" href=\"http:\/\/izvestiyakbncran.ru\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/iksanov-6.pdf\" style=\"border-color:#5b1919;border-style:solid;border-width:2px;border-radius:8px;color:#5b1919;padding-top:0.4rem;padding-right:var(--wp--preset--spacing--40);padding-bottom:0.4rem;padding-left:var(--wp--preset--spacing--40)\">PDF<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:0px;width:0px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer wp-container-content-273e683f\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-foreground-color has-text-color has-link-color has-lora-font-family has-extra-small-font-size wp-elements-c0d7dde7bde805d2165fd782b2d78e11\" style=\"line-height:1.4\"><strong><em>Abstract<\/em><\/strong><em>.<\/em> The ability to forecast trends for the future period has always been in demand in commercial and public enterprises. Based on forecasting, effective management decisions are made that contribute to the improvement of the enterprise and the country&#8217;s economy. Such calculations require a tool capable of making a high-quality calculation and analysis taking into account the volatile behavior of the market. To implement this system, it is necessary to consider macroeconomic indicators, industrial production indicators, and the right choice of software architecture. The purpose of the study is to analyze the software architecture and create an information and analytical system. <strong>Research methods<\/strong> \u2013 comparative analysis of software architecture and statistical classification. <strong>Results<\/strong>. Within the framework of this work, software architectures are analyzed to solve the problem of forecasting the economic indicators of the Russian Federation based on the author&#8217;s architecture assessment method. A comparative analysis table is compiled, the use of which the optimal architecture suitable for the problem is defined. The paper reveals the significance of the study, sets goals and objectives. The information-analytical forecasting system has been advanced and the system development grounded on the chosen architecture is presented. IAS operation is demonstrated, initial calculations by forecasting methods are made, and conclusions are drawn on the basis of the results. Each task was accomplished.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-foreground-color has-text-color has-link-color has-lora-font-family has-extra-small-font-size wp-elements-ea76b738ca6772167ffe3ed000308fb6\" style=\"line-height:1.4\"><strong><em><strong>Keywords<\/strong>:<\/em><\/strong> IAS, microservice architecture, IAS development, forecasting, industrial economics, MAPE, determination coefficient, Tkinter, Pandas<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-foreground-color has-text-color has-link-color has-lora-font-family wp-elements-67b2b136543aeb894ae35859a9325f46\" style=\"font-size:12px;line-height:1.4\"><strong><strong>For citation<\/strong>.<\/strong> Iksanov V.R. IAS development for industrial economic forecasting. <em>News of the Kabardino-Balkarian Scientific Center of RAS.<\/em> 2025. Vol. 27. No. 3. Pp. 88\u201398. DOI: 10.35330\/1991-6639-2025-27-3-88-98<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details has-foreground-color has-text-color has-link-color has-lora-font-family has-extra-small-font-size wp-elements-e8775266d6c5ecf90dd238ea4caba6f2 is-layout-flow wp-container-core-details-is-layout-0ab540ad wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\" style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:700;line-height:1.5\"><summary><strong>R<\/strong>eferences<\/summary>\n<ol style=\"margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0\" class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:400\">Kitova O.V., Savinova V.M., Iksanov V.R. Comparative analysis of machine learning methods for forecasting industrial indicators of the Russian Federation. Voprosy istorii [Questions of History]. 2022. No. 9-2. Pp. 248\u2013262. DOI: 10.31166\/VoprosyIstorii202209Statyi37. (In Russian)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:400\">Kitova O.V., Kolmakov I.B., Penkov I.A. Support vector machine method for forecasting investment indicators. Ekonomika, statistika i informatika. Vestnik UMO [Economics, Statistics and Informatics. Bulletin of UMO]. 2016. No. 4. Pp. 27\u201330. EDN: WHOQRX. (In Russian)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:400\">Baturin A.S. Time series and forecasting models [Electronic resource]. Access mode: https:\/\/4analytics.ru\/prognozirovanie\/vremennie-ryadi-i-modeli-prognozirovaniya.html (Accessed: 15.03.2025). (In Russian)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:400\">Kitova O.V., Savinova V.M., Dyakonova L.P. System of hybrid forecasting models for situational centers of regional government bodies and their application in education. Vestnik rossiyskogo ekonomicheskogo universiteta imeni G.V. Plekhanova [Bulletin of Plekhanov Russian University of Economics]. 2017. No. 5(95). Pp. 126\u2013134. EDN: ZSPYVB. (In Russian)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:400\">Kitova O.V., Kolmakov I.B., Domozhakov M.V. et al. Hybrid distributed regression and intelligent systems for forecasting indicators of socio-economic development of Russia. Vestnik rossiyskogo ekonomicheskogo universiteta imeni G.V. Plekhanova [Bulletin of Plekhanov Russian University of Economics]. 2017. No. 2(92). Pp. 147\u2013161. EDN: YNTSCD. (In Russian)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:400\">Savinova V.M. The system of econometric models for forecasting socio-economic indicators of the Russian Federation as the basis of the IAS \u201cHorizon\u201d. Modern Economy Success. 2022. No. 2. Pp. 140\u2013147. EDN: ULYEZO<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:400\">Baturin A.S. Time series and forecasting models [Electronic resource]. Access mode: https:\/\/4analytics.ru\/prognozirovanie\/vremennie-ryadi-i-modeli-prognozirovaniya.html (Accessed: 11.03.2025). (In Russian)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:400\">Rustamov A.B. Forecast for the future of factors affecting the volume of production by the regional industrial entities in the digital economy. Ekonomika i predprinimatel&#8217;stvo [Economy and Entrepreneurship]. 2022. No. 4(141). Pp. 265\u2013272. DOI: 10.34925\/EIP.2022.141.4.050. EDN: BQXFDT<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:400\">Tovma O.D. Main types of software architecture [Electronic resource]. Access mode: https:\/\/www.artofba.com\/post\/main-types-of-software-architecture-ru (Accessed: 03\/15\/2025). (In Russian)<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details has-foreground-color has-text-color has-link-color has-lora-font-family has-extra-small-font-size wp-elements-ee5226234e39c1398e6e5e1bfa1aea5d is-layout-flow wp-container-core-details-is-layout-5dafc681 wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\" style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:700;line-height:1.5\"><summary><strong>Information about the author<\/strong><\/summary>\n<div class=\"wp-block-group is-vertical is-layout-flex wp-container-core-group-is-layout-b291ae12 wp-block-group-is-layout-flex\" style=\"min-height:0px;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;padding-top:var(--wp--preset--spacing--20);padding-right:var(--wp--preset--spacing--40);padding-bottom:var(--wp--preset--spacing--20);padding-left:var(--wp--preset--spacing--40)\">\n<p style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:400\"><strong>Vladislav R. Iksanov<\/strong>, Master, Assistant of the Department of Computer Science, Plekhanov Russian<br>University of Economics;<br>115054, Russia, Moscow, 36 Stremyannyy lane;<br>vlad-iksanov@mail.ru, ORCID: https:\/\/orcid.org\/0009-0003-7810-3720, SPIN-code: 6750-3298<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:400\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:400\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:400\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:400\"><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/details>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>IAS development for industrial economic forecasting V.R. Iksanov Upload the full text Abstract. The ability to forecast trends for the future period has always been in demand in commercial and public enterprises. Based on forecasting, effective management decisions are made that contribute to the improvement of the enterprise and the country&#8217;s economy. Such calculations require [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"wp-custom-template-home","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-3523","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>27.3.6 En - \u0418\u0417\u0412\u0415\u0421\u0422\u0418\u042f \u041a\u0410\u0411\u0410\u0420\u0414\u0418\u041d\u041e-\u0411\u0410\u041b\u041a\u0410\u0420\u0421\u041a\u041e\u0413\u041e \u041d\u0410\u0423\u0427\u041d\u041e\u0413\u041e \u0426\u0415\u041d\u0422\u0420\u0410 \u0420\u0410\u041d\u00bb<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/izvestiyakbncran.ru\/index.php\/en\/27-3-6-en\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ru_RU\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"27.3.6 En - \u0418\u0417\u0412\u0415\u0421\u0422\u0418\u042f \u041a\u0410\u0411\u0410\u0420\u0414\u0418\u041d\u041e-\u0411\u0410\u041b\u041a\u0410\u0420\u0421\u041a\u041e\u0413\u041e \u041d\u0410\u0423\u0427\u041d\u041e\u0413\u041e \u0426\u0415\u041d\u0422\u0420\u0410 \u0420\u0410\u041d\u00bb\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"IAS development for industrial economic forecasting V.R. 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