{"id":11690,"date":"2026-04-22T09:21:03","date_gmt":"2026-04-22T08:21:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/izvestiyakbncran.ru\/?page_id=11690"},"modified":"2026-06-04T10:24:46","modified_gmt":"2026-06-04T09:24:46","slug":"28-2-6-en","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/izvestiyakbncran.ru\/index.php\/en\/28-2-6-en\/","title":{"rendered":"28.2.6 En"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Modeling vineyard and wineries dynamic in the Republic of Dagestan<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

D.A. Maksimov, Yu.V. Morozova<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Abstract<\/strong><\/strong>. <\/em>The article examines in detail the history of viticulture in the territory of first Dagestan region, then Dagestan and now the Republic of Dagestan. Viticulture and winemaking have not been a priority for the development in this region. The literary database contains carefully selected and organized statistical materials, including data extracted from publications from the late 19th century.
Aim<\/strong>. The study is to consider the prospects and trends in the dynamics of vineyard areas and production of wineries in the Republic of Dagestan.
Research methods<\/strong>. The work uses economic and statistical techniques in the areas analysis. An econometric analysis is also carried out to study the relationship between yield and area. Based on the data collected, generalizations and systematizations are made, allowing us to draw conclusions about the significance of grape plantations for the economy and society of the Republic of Dagestan.
Results<\/strong>. The work carried out a comprehensive analysis for the vineyard areas and key production indicators for wineries in the Republic of Dagestan. The study includes a thorough examination of the current situation in the region’s vineyards, as well as the yields assessment. As part of our analysis, we identified and systematized the main trends in changes in vineyard areas and grape yields in the Republic of Dagestan from 1870 to the present.
Conclusion<\/strong>. The analysis shows that there is no direct correlation between the gross harvest and the area of plantings. The key trend is a significant increase in efficiency: in the 2020s, similar harvest volumes to those of the 1970s and 1980s from an area that is 2.5 times smaller, which indicates to transition to more intensive viticulture. The developed econometric model ARIMA(1,1,0) confirms the moderate positive dynamics in yields and is suitable for short-term forecasting, creating the basis for scientifically sound planning in the industry, considering both agrotechnical and climatic factors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Keywords<\/strong>:<\/em><\/strong> agro-industrial complex, yield modeling, dynamics of wineries, viticulture, Republic of Dagestan<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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For citation<\/strong>.<\/strong> Maksimov D.A., Morozova Yu.V. Modeling vineyard and wineries dynamic in the Republic of Dagestan. News of the Kabardino-Balkarian Scientific Center of RAS<\/em>. 2026. Vol. 28. No. 2. Pp. 75\u201390. DOI: 10.35330\/1991-6639-2026-28-2-75-90<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\u00a9   Maksimov D.A., Morozova Yu.V., 2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Content is available under license Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

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R<\/strong>eferences<\/summary>\n
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  1. Alkhasov Z.M. Otsenka investitsionnoy privlekatel\u2019nosti munitsipal\u2019nykh obrazovaniy Respubliki Dagestan<\/em> [Assessment of investment attractiveness of municipalities in Republic of Dagestan]. Values of personality and society in the context of geopolitical turbulence and the post-globalization world: traditions and innovations: Proceedings of the I International Congress of Socio-Political Researchers of the Turkic World, Kazan, October 26\u201327, 2023. Kazan: Kazan (Volga Region) Federal University, 2023. Pp. 83\u201390. (In Russian)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  2. Vinogradarstvo i vinodeliye v Bakinskoy gubernii s gradonachal’stvom i Dagestanskoy oblasti<\/em> [Viticulture and winemaking in the Baku province with city government and Dagestan region] \/ G.U.Z. and Z. Baku\u2011Dagestan Committee of Viticulture and Winemaking. Baku: Tipografiya Segal’, 1913. 102 p. (In Russian)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
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  4. Vserossiyskie sel’skohozyajstvennye perepisi 1917\u202fg. v Dagestanskoy oblasti i 2006\u202fg. v Respublike Dagestan<\/em> [All-Russian Agricultural Censuses of 1917 in Dagestan Region and 2006. in Republic of Dagestan].\u202fMakhachkala, 2010. (In Russian)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
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    Moscow: Nauka, 1982. (In Russian)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
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  8. Kavkazskiy kalendar’ [Caucasian Calendar], comp. I. N. Berezin et al. Tiflis: Tip. Kavkazskogo uchebnogo okruga, 1845\u20131917. (In Russian)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  9. Kavkazskoye obshchestvo sel’skogo khozyaystva (Tiflis) [Caucasian society of agriculture (Tiflis)]. Proceedings of the Imperial Caucasian Society of Agriculture. Tiflis: Tipografiya Glavnogo upravleniya namestnika Kavkazskogo, 1855\u20131893. 1874. (In Russian)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  10. Komitet po vinogradarstvu i alkogol’nomu regulirovaniyu Respubliki Dagestan [Committee on viticulture and alcohol regulation of the Republic of Dagestan]. Official website. URL: https:\/\/\u043a\u043e\u043c\u0438\u0442\u0435\u0442\u0434\u0430\u0433\u0432\u0438\u043d\u043e. Russian Federation\/ (accessed: 21\/08\/2025). (In Russian)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
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  12. Programma ekonomicheskogo i sotsial’nogo razvitiya Respubliki Dagestan na period do 2010 goda [Program of economic and social development of Republic Of Dagestan for period up to 2010]. Makhachkala, 2004. (In Russian)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  13. Statisticheskiy sbornik \u00abOsnovnyye pokazateli razvitiya sel’skogo khozyaystva Dagestana za 1961\u20131995 gg.\u00bb [Statistical collection \u201cBasic Indicators of Agricultural Development in Dagestan for 1961\u20131995\u201d]. Makhachkala: Goskomstat Rd., 1996. (In Russian)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  14. Federal’nyy zakon ot 27 dekabrya 2019 goda \u2116 468-FZ \u00abO vinogradarstve i vinodelii v Rossiyskoy Federatsii\u00bb (s izmeneniyami ot 29 dekabrya 2025 goda \u2116 579-FZ) [Federal Law No. 468-FZ of December 27, 2019 «On Viticulture and Winemaking in the Russian Federation» (as amended on December 29, 2025. No. 579-FZ)]. (accessed: 10\/11\/2025). (In Russian)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  15. Khashaev Kh.M. Zanyatiya naseleniya Dagestana v XIX veke [Occupation of Dagestan’s population in the 19th century]. USSR Academy of Sciences, Dagestan branch. Makhachkala, 116 p. (In Russian)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  16. Tsypin A.P. Retrospective analysis of the dynamics of gross grape harvest in the Republic of Moldova. Menedzhment v APK [Management in Agriculture]. 2024. No. 4. Pp. 11\u201318. DOI: 10.35244\/2782-3776-2024-4-4-11-18. (In Russian)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  17. Sharipov Sh.I., Rykova I.N., Yuryeva A.A. Strategicheskie prioritety razvitiya otrasli vinogradarstva na primere Respubliki Dagestan [Strategic priorities for development of viticulture industry on example of the Republic of Dagestan]. Proceedings of the Timiryazevskaya Agricultural Academy. 2023. No. 2. Pp. 154\u2013172. DOI: 10.26897\/0021-342X-2023-2-154-172. (In Russian)<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n
    Information about the authors<\/strong><\/summary>\n
    \n

    Denis A. Maksimov<\/strong>, Doctor of Economics, Professor, Head of the Department of Mathematical Methods in Economics, Plekhanov Russian University of Economics;
    36, Stremyanny lane, Moscow, 115054, Russia;
    Maksimov.DA@rea.ru, ORCID: https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-8316-8359, SPIN-code: 6104-5875
    Yulia V. Morozova<\/strong>, Master Student, Plekhanov Russian University of Economics;
    36, Stremyanny lane, Moscow, 115054, Russia;
    morozova.vladimirovna@gmail.com, SPIN-code: 9519-2755<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    <\/p>\n\n\n\n

    <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n

    Funding<\/strong><\/summary>\n

    The study was performed without external funding.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n

    <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Modeling vineyard and wineries dynamic in the Republic of Dagestan D.A. Maksimov, Yu.V. Morozova Abstract. The article examines in detail the history of viticulture in the territory of first Dagestan region, then Dagestan and now the Republic of Dagestan. Viticulture and winemaking have not been a priority for the development in this region. The literary […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"wp-custom-template-home","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-11690","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"yoast_head":"\n28.2.6 En - \u0418\u0417\u0412\u0415\u0421\u0422\u0418\u042f \u041a\u0410\u0411\u0410\u0420\u0414\u0418\u041d\u041e-\u0411\u0410\u041b\u041a\u0410\u0420\u0421\u041a\u041e\u0413\u041e \u041d\u0410\u0423\u0427\u041d\u041e\u0413\u041e \u0426\u0415\u041d\u0422\u0420\u0410 \u0420\u0410\u041d\u00bb<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/izvestiyakbncran.ru\/index.php\/en\/28-2-6-en\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ru_RU\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"28.2.6 En - \u0418\u0417\u0412\u0415\u0421\u0422\u0418\u042f \u041a\u0410\u0411\u0410\u0420\u0414\u0418\u041d\u041e-\u0411\u0410\u041b\u041a\u0410\u0420\u0421\u041a\u041e\u0413\u041e \u041d\u0410\u0423\u0427\u041d\u041e\u0413\u041e \u0426\u0415\u041d\u0422\u0420\u0410 \u0420\u0410\u041d\u00bb\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Modeling vineyard and wineries dynamic in the Republic of Dagestan D.A. 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Maksimov, Yu.V. Morozova Abstract. The article examines in detail the history of viticulture in the territory of first Dagestan region, then Dagestan and now the Republic of Dagestan. Viticulture and winemaking have not been a priority for the development in this region. 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