Origin of transport and logistics infrastructure reliability theory in the context of sustainable development of the Arctic zone and the Northern Sea Route

S.E. Barykin, O.V. Kompanitseva

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Abstract: Interpreting reliability as an omnichannel synchronization of a logistics ecosystem, where sustainability is achieved through coordinated interaction between physical, digital, organizational, and institutional components, enables us to take into account the unique characteristics of the Arctic infrastructure, including climate-related risks, network fragmentation, digital inequalities, and the need for flexible routing strategies.
Aim. The paper theoretically justifies the evolution of the concept of transport and logistics infrastructure reliability in the context of sustainable development of the Arctic zone and the Northern Sea Route. It identifies the methodological limitations of existing approaches and proposes a theoretically grounded model for reliability based on omnichannel logistics synchronization that is adapted to the macro-logistical conditions of the Arctic.
Methods. The methodological basis includes comparative-analytical and systematic approaches, as well as the principles of regional analysis of the Arctic.
Results. The paper explores the advancement approaches to the theory of transport and logistics infrastructure reliability, focusing on the specific challenges of the Arctic region and the Northern Sea Route. The article argues for a shift from traditional engineering interpretations of reliability towards a cognitive model that incorporates predictive analytics and the use of digital twins. Reliability is defined as the omnichannel synchronization of the logistics system, ensuring stability and resilience in the face of high levels of territorial and climatic uncertainty. The paper outlines five stages in the development of the concept of reliability: from an engineering-based approach to a more digital and platform-driven paradigm.
Conclusions. The proposed approach highlights the potential of actively managing logistics reliability through the cognitive digital platforms, which can form the foundation for strategic planning of Arctic logistics.

Keywords: logistics, reliability, cognitive models, Arctic, digital platform, spatial development, sustainability, transport and logistics infrastructure

For citation. Barykin S.E., Kompaniitseva O.V. Origin of transport and logistics infrastructure reliability theory in the con-text of sustainable development of the Arctic zone and the Northern Sea Route. News of the Kabardino-Balkarian Scientific Center of RAS. 2025. Vol. 27. No. 4. Pp. 94–103. DOI: 10.35330/1991-6639-2025-27-4-94-103

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Information about the authors

Sergey E. Barykin, Doctor of Economic Sciences, Professor, Graduate School of Service and Trade, Peter the Great St. Petersburg Polytechnic University;
195251, Russia, St. Petersburg, 50 Novorosiyskaya street;
sbe@list.ru, ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9048-009X, SPIN-code: 9382-2074
Oksana V. Kompaniitseva, Candidate of Economic Sciences, Associate Professor of the Department Mozhaisky Military Space Academy;
197198, Russia, St. Petersburg, 13 Zhdanovskaya street;
oks1@yandex.ru, ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0000-0068-0411, SPIN-code: 3019-1038